Off-plan property prices in Dubai are stabilising following the 2023 boom

Mounir, founder of DRN Dubai Real Estate, a French estate agency in Dubai

By Mounir Redjdal

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Property in Dubai has seen a sharp rise in recent years, particularly amongst those interested in off-plan properties. In 2023, the market experienced a period of intense growth in which the prices of off-plan properties have risen significantly. However, this momentum could not last forever. By mid-2024, the market is showing signs of slowing down and stabilising, marking a new era for the property market in Dubai.

Soaring prices for off-plan properties in 2023

In 2023, the prices of off-plan properties rose by 30%, piquing investors’ curiosity. Investors saw these properties as a unique opportunity to set a price immediately, in the hope of realising significant financial gains in the long term. This frenzy led to frantic demand, driving prices to unexpected heights.

Nevertheless, many experts pointed out that this rapid rise was not sustainable in the long term. The market needed a period of adjustment to avoid a speculative bubble. Consequently, the first signs of stabilisation began to emerge in mid-2024. This rebalancing is seen as a positive indicator by industry experts.

The reasons behind this price surge

  • The perception of off-plan properties as high-potential investments.
  • An ambitious schedule for launching new projects in 2023.
  • A sense of urgency felt by buyers in the face of a limited supply of high-quality properties.

As a result of this boom, new opportunities have arisen for investors seeking to capitalise on prestigious future developments. However, the market is now beginning to favour more stable investments.

The transition to completed properties

Now that the market has stabilised, attention is turning to the existing properties. In the first quarter of 2024, completed properties accounted for 54% of all property transactions, compared with 46% for off-plan properties. This trend highlights a growing preference for investments that offer immediate returns, without having to wait for construction work to be completed.

This trend reflects buyers’ desire to reduce waiting times and minimise the risks associated with off-plan projects. The ready-to-move-in properties not only offer greater security but also provide an immediate return, making these investments particularly attractive.

Advantages of ready-to-move-in properties

  • Immediate occupancy or quick letting.
  • Fewer risks associated with carrying out the project.
  • Clear insight into return on investment.

Thus, although off-plan properties still hold their appeal for investors seeking long-term value, they no longer dominate the market as they did in 2023.

Towards sustainable price stabilisation

The current rebalancing of the Dubai property market can be interpreted as a a sign of maturity. With an increased supply of off-plan developments and renewed interest in ready-to-move-in properties, the market is adjusting naturally. This is resulting in price stability, avoiding the sudden and potentially damaging rises seen in previous years.

This return to equilibrium is both expected and welcome. The rapid price rises seen in 2023 were unsustainable in the long term. The current stabilisation allows for a more moderate and stable growth, benefiting both investors and developers.

Implications for investors

  • The ability to make more informed decisions thanks to realistic prices.
  • Reducing the risk of extreme volatility.
  • An environment conducive to sustainable and well-considered investment.

The future of the property market in Dubai remains promising. The stabilisation of prices ensures an environment in which buyers and investors can operate with confidence, supported by a more transparent and predictable pricing structure.

The transformation of Dubai’s property market marks the beginning of a new phase characterised by rationality and predictability. Whether you are interested in off-plan properties with significant growth potential or in ready-to-move-in properties offering immediate income, the current market presents a diverse range of opportunities. The days of blind haste are over; the time has now come for strategic and informed choices. It is this maturation that promises to ensure the sustainability and resilience of Dubai’s property sector.

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Mounir Redjdal

Founder of DRN Real Estate

Mounir Redjdal is an entrepreneur and the founder of DRN Dubai Real Estate, a French-speaking estate agency based in Dubai since 2017.

An active investor in the Middle East for over 15 years, he supports international investors with a structured, long-term approach.

Under his leadership, DRN has exceeded €100 million in transactions in 2021 and has established itself in Dubai’s French-speaking market.

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