Economic Forecasts for the United Arab Emirates in 2024

Mounir, founder of DRN Dubai Real Estate, a French estate agency in Dubai

By Mounir Redjdal

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The United Arab Emirates (UAE) continues to demonstrate its economic resilience with a positive outlook for 2024. According to the latest projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), gross domestic product (GDP) The UAE’s real GDP is expected to increase by approximately 4 % this year. At the same time, the’inflation The average is expected to be around 2 %, which is indicative of a certain degree of economic stability. This article explores the various factors contributing to this economic performance, including key sectors, international relations and government initiatives.

Stable economic growth: Diversified development across various sectors


Tourism is booming

The UAE’s tourism sector plays a crucial role in boosting the economic growth. With world-renowned attractions and thanks to regular international events, tourist numbers continue to rise, bringing in significant revenue for the country.

Construction and infrastructure projects

The construction remains a mainstay of the UAE’s economy. The country is pressing ahead with its ambitious urban and infrastructure development projects, meeting the growing needs of an expanding population and attracting significant foreign investment.

Manufacturing and financial services

Economic diversification has led to a significant increase in activity in the sectors of manufacture and some financial services. These industries add value to the economy whilst creating jobs and building local capacity.

International demand and the property market


Rise in foreign demand

Foreign demand for the’property in the UAE continues to grow, driven by the strengthened bilateral relations and the country’s reputation as a haven of peace. This trend not only bolsters the property sector but also contributes to rising prices and rents.

Impact on the cost of living

The increase in house prices has an impact on the overall cost of living in the UAE. However, this effect is offset by the revenue generated from these international property transactions.

Fiscal surplus and external accounts: Prudent budgetary management


Maintaining high surpluses

Thanks to the high oil prices, the UAE is expected to maintain substantial fiscal and external surpluses in 2024. The IMF anticipates that the country could achieve a surplus of current account near 10 % of GDP this year.

Reduction in public debt

The forecasts also point to a gradual reduction in the public debt the UAE, amounting to approximately 30 % of GDP. This reduction is made possible by strict budgetary discipline and the strategic management of financial resources.

Introduction of corporation tax

Another key measure to support non-hydrocarbon revenues is the introduction of the corporation tax. Its full implementation over the coming years will help to further diversify the state’s sources of revenue.

  • Macroeconomic stability thanks to high oil prices
  • Increase in foreign investment in the property sector
  • Decline in public debt due to a sound financial management
  • Introduction of new taxes to diversify revenue streams

The Future of Banking in the UAE: Growth Despite High Interest Rates


Expansion of the banking sector

Despite rising interest rates, the UAE’s banking sector is showing positive signs of growth. The banks are adapting and continue to post strong results, reflecting the resilience of the national financial system.

Innovation and technological adoption

The’rapid adoption of fintech technologies in the banking sector further boosts the competitiveness and efficiency of the financial services offered to customers, both local and international.

In summary, the economic outlook for the UAE in 2024 looks promising, underpinned by robust growth in several key sectors, sound budgetary management, and policies that promote economic diversification. The UAE’s strategic geopolitical position and government initiatives will continue to make it a major player on the global economic stage. Against this backdrop, the UAE is well placed to capitalise on future opportunities and overcome potential challenges.

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Mounir Redjdal

Founder of DRN Real Estate

Mounir Redjdal is an entrepreneur and the founder of DRN Dubai Real Estate, a French-speaking estate agency based in Dubai since 2017.

An active investor in the Middle East for over 15 years, he supports international investors with a structured, long-term approach.

Under his leadership, DRN has exceeded €100 million in transactions in 2021 and has established itself in Dubai’s French-speaking market.

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